Setup Scores

A single 0–100 score that rolls up seven things we track on each stock — valuation, quality, how far it has fallen, what insiders & institutions are doing, options, sentiment and the macro backdrop — into one read on how attractive it looks right now. Higher = more attractive. Sorted by total score.

📈 Trading Signals Backtest (2020-Present)

Performance metrics across 5,453 setups computed historically at the exact bottom dates (no look-ahead bias).

🟢 BUY (Bottom Fish / Buy-in)Total Signals: 1,359

42.1%60d Win Rate

Triggered when quality is high, valuation is low, and stock has deep drawdown.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-29.7%

Avg 60d Bounce+36.3%

🔴 SELL (Risk Avoidance / Sell-out)Total Signals: 1,470

40.5%60d Win Rate

Triggered on value trap, overvaluation, or excessive retail crowd topping.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-24.8%

Avg Score33.5

⚪ HOLD (Hold / Watch)Total Signals: 2,624

HOLD/ HOLD (Hold / Watch)

Wait-and-see or normal positions on moderate quality/drawdown.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-28.6%

Avg Score54.8

💡 Empirical Summary: 🟢 BUY signals occur on average at a deep -29.7% drawdown, with a 42.1% 60-day bounce rate and +36.3% average bounce. 🔴 SELL signals warn of overvaluation or toppings to avoid value traps.

All scored Live candidates

All · 517 Deep Value · 111 Quality on Sale · 18 Watch · 264 Crowded Long · 16 Value Trap Risk · 85 Avoid / Topping · 23

Ticker	Total	Verdict	Value	Quality	Drawdown	Smart Money	Options	Sentiment	Macro
CHTR	707/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	100	20	100	80	38	77	56
INCY	677/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	85	95	25	71	28	68	56
GOLD	677/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	100	22	68	91	50	57	56
HIG	657/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	97	72	23	61	50	63	56
PNC	657/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	94	66	18	58	95	50	56
GIS	657/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	92	20	77	75	81	45	56
BKNG	657/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	72	80	56	52	63	56	56
CB	647/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	94	71	18	54	100	29	56
SYF	637/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	97	74	38	38	37	66	56
BAX	637/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	94	30	82	64	40	51	56
CF	637/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	92	90	37	33	30	59	56
ALL	637/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	97	55	16	59	97	39	56
SCHW	637/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	75	72	37	50	90	49	56
TAP	627/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	100	20	55	76	36	66	56
TRV	617/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	97	55	13	50	78	63	56
GL	617/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	94	71	5	59	53	56	56
HII	617/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	78	56	64	67	42	37	56
CI	607/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	97	53	34	30	80	51	56
BRK-B	607/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	88	63	15	50	62	63	56
PCG	597/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	94	23	29	77	90	34	56
JPM	597/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	86	72	21	42	48	63	56
BLDR	597/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	73	20	98	62	48	52	56
LEN	597/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	97	20	74	67	14	54	56
MCK	597/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	73	46	51	72	70	29	56
DGX	597/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	75	56	16	52	93	62	56
AVY	587/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	72	54	39	59	58	63	56
BAC	587/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	94	56	20	53	49	51	56
AIG	587/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	97	20	30	66	68	58	56
AIZ	577/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	93	65	7	38	54	63	56
MELI	577/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	82	28	70	72	45	29	56
DHI	567/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	89	20	40	72	74	33	56
TU	567/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	76	24	49	83	50	47	56
COP	567/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	87	51	30	60	31	48	56
KDP	567/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	72	29	29	63	96	61	56
DAL	567/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	90	65	0	60	32	55	56
WFC	567/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	95	20	39	63	49	54	56
SNA	567/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	75	72	10	57	46	52	56
PPL	557/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	79	28	22	67	95	40	56
IFF	557/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	77	20	17	92	63	63	56
COF	557/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	80	24	54	73	34	48	56
EVRG	557/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	79	23	6	69	100	64	56
AZO	547/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	71	20	65	73	63	29	56
FOX	547/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	91	50	31	50	30	39	56
XEL	547/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	74	21	11	73	100	64	56
BKR	547/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	74	56	17	47	77	43	56
LOW	547/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	77	20	51	68	54	45	56
EXC	537/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	86	21	18	54	75	60	56
NVR	536/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	79	20	57	59	—	36	56
C	537/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	91	48	11	59	37	32	56
AES	527/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	88	14	30	28	100	63	56
TGT	527/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	82	55	8	64	39	29	56
PNW	527/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	82	21	9	54	94	53	56
DVA	527/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	84	48	6	36	54	66	56
ED	517/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	86	28	17	58	68	32	56
NI	517/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	74	27	9	59	85	53	56
LNT	517/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	70	29	7	72	59	68	56
STZ	507/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	85	20	44	48	30	54	56
SLB	507/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	73	56	12	55	33	46	56
LYB	507/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	78	20	38	68	25	52	56
HAL	497/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	80	49	19	35	37	51	56
CMS	497/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	76	24	18	73	49	40	56
WBD	497/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	84	20	20	48	61	51	56
FDX	497/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	75	47	0	53	59	44	56
AEE	497/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	78	28	11	54	50	63	56
STT	487/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	87	35	4	32	57	58	56
SOLV	487/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	82	20	26	61	49	30	56
CVX	487/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	72	47	27	27	42	58	56
CRL	487/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	78	20	41	63	3	61	56
XOM	487/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	76	20	31	51	43	58	56
PSX	487/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	79	30	13	65	31	42	56
FSLR	477/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	73	93	0	9	28	35	56
CNP	477/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	71	14	9	72	53	65	56
MET	477/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	84	16	4	65	69	29	56
BEN	467/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	81	33	8	39	64	29	56
LUV	467/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	70	30	43	55	13	36	56
MS	467/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	75	52	0	36	39	45	56
DUK	467/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	83	29	16	40	50	29	56
DOW	467/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	79	10	39	67	4	46	56
FE	457/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	77	17	21	49	55	36	56
GS	457/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	77	53	0	13	43	62	56
NUE	457/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	72	46	0	25	54	54	56
SO	447/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	73	23	15	56	50	29	56
DELL	427/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	86	35	0	20	50	32	56
GM	417/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	77	23	7	37	40	41	56
HPE	407/7	HOLDValue Trap Risk	77	49	0	12	38	30	56