Setup Scores

A single 0–100 score that rolls up seven things we track on each stock — valuation, quality, how far it has fallen, what insiders & institutions are doing, options, sentiment and the macro backdrop — into one read on how attractive it looks right now. Higher = more attractive. Sorted by total score.

📈 Trading Signals Backtest (2020-Present)

Performance metrics across 5,453 setups computed historically at the exact bottom dates (no look-ahead bias).

🟢 BUY (Bottom Fish / Buy-in)Total Signals: 1,359

42.1%60d Win Rate

Triggered when quality is high, valuation is low, and stock has deep drawdown.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-29.7%

Avg 60d Bounce+36.3%

🔴 SELL (Risk Avoidance / Sell-out)Total Signals: 1,470

40.5%60d Win Rate

Triggered on value trap, overvaluation, or excessive retail crowd topping.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-24.8%

Avg Score33.5

⚪ HOLD (Hold / Watch)Total Signals: 2,624

HOLD/ HOLD (Hold / Watch)

Wait-and-see or normal positions on moderate quality/drawdown.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-28.6%

Avg Score54.8

💡 Empirical Summary: 🟢 BUY signals occur on average at a deep -29.7% drawdown, with a 42.1% 60-day bounce rate and +36.3% average bounce. 🔴 SELL signals warn of overvaluation or toppings to avoid value traps.

All scored Live candidates

All · 517 Deep Value · 111 Quality on Sale · 18 Watch · 264 Crowded Long · 16 Value Trap Risk · 85 Avoid / Topping · 23

Ticker	Total	Verdict	Value	Quality	Drawdown	Smart Money	Options	Sentiment	Macro
CAG	707/7	HOLDWatch	100	35	84	78	60	47	56
MSTR	667/7	HOLDWatch	94	31	100	82	20	37	56
ZTS	657/7	HOLDWatch	62	64	100	55	83	29	56
PSKY	647/7	HOLDWatch	65	33	92	77	66	63	56
GDDY	647/7	HOLDWatch	59	57	100	81	36	37	56
ARE	637/7	HOLDWatch	88	36	86	57	70	30	56
PRU	637/7	HOLDWatch	95	44	30	83	57	46	56
CPB	627/7	HOLDWatch	96	31	78	57	21	70	56
CEG	627/7	HOLDWatch	100	40	58	69	45	29	56
TRMB	627/7	HOLDWatch	64	60	68	83	25	63	56
HBAN	627/7	HOLDWatch	100	40	30	78	43	55	56
J	627/7	HOLDWatch	97	32	54	78	31	53	56
EFX	617/7	HOLDWatch	62	57	78	56	54	63	56
RSG	617/7	HOLDWatch	57	55	45	93	73	52	56
FITB	617/7	HOLDWatch	100	36	19	75	63	56	56
KHC	617/7	HOLDWatch	100	41	34	71	50	40	56
TSCO	607/7	HOLDWatch	69	20	99	78	54	43	56
SPGI	607/7	HOLDWatch	57	55	50	83	70	52	56
STE	607/7	HOLDWatch	64	61	42	78	82	29	56
ULTA	607/7	HOLDWatch	57	69	56	61	52	63	56
YUM	607/7	HOLDWatch	58	76	24	76	60	63	56
ZBRA	607/7	HOLDWatch	64	56	57	78	61	35	56
NKE	607/7	HOLDWatch	50	49	83	89	23	63	56
VRTX	597/7	HOLDWatch	45	88	21	66	91	57	56
NCLH	597/7	HOLDWatch	84	30	64	88	9	58	56
BF-B	597/7	HOLDWatch	83	68	46	38	25	71	56
GEN	597/7	HOLDWatch	99	40	40	74	30	37	56
GPC	597/7	HOLDWatch	56	34	68	74	82	57	56
CMG	597/7	HOLDWatch	31	54	91	83	80	35	56
CSGP	587/7	HOLDWatch	31	58	100	100	0	63	56
PG	587/7	HOLDWatch	61	75	31	61	53	63	56
TMO	587/7	HOLDWatch	57	58	46	65	72	58	56
IT	587/7	HOLDWatch	59	47	100	68	7	53	56
DHR	587/7	HOLDWatch	55	55	49	83	51	56	56
VZ	587/7	HOLDWatch	95	44	14	57	77	44	56
KMB	587/7	HOLDWatch	53	51	64	76	66	40	56
HRL	587/7	HOLDWatch	78	42	53	74	38	44	56
DG	587/7	HOLDWatch	82	43	58	71	13	53	56
ES	587/7	HOLDWatch	88	44	21	55	69	58	56
MCD	587/7	HOLDWatch	61	83	36	64	50	29	56
UBER	587/7	HOLDWatch	56	80	59	64	34	29	56
AFL	577/7	HOLDWatch	100	60	11	36	50	56	56
ZS	577/7	HOLDWatch	82	38	100	49	5	35	56
PEG	577/7	HOLDWatch	80	42	25	61	76	51	56
CME	577/7	HOLDWatch	58	84	32	60	42	48	56
DECK	577/7	HOLDWatch	70	81	16	40	77	42	56
MLM	577/7	HOLDWatch	50	77	36	65	51	56	56
TYL	577/7	HOLDWatch	27	60	98	49	66	64	56
EXR	577/7	HOLDWatch	56	57	11	70	98	63	56
PFG	567/7	HOLDWatch	89	52	2	37	96	54	56
INVH	567/7	HOLDWatch	62	56	28	66	65	63	56
TDG	567/7	HOLDWatch	30	82	45	52	87	63	56
SJM	567/7	HOLDWatch	90	35	22	61	53	63	56
BDX	567/7	HOLDWatch	81	44	41	69	45	33	56
A	567/7	HOLDWatch	50	76	28	73	73	29	56
ADP	567/7	HOLDWatch	47	55	64	74	50	42	56
CTVA	557/7	HOLDWatch	57	52	17	74	80	63	56
EIX	557/7	HOLDWatch	97	33	16	56	81	29	56
NSC	557/7	HOLDWatch	62	60	13	58	85	59	56
UDR	557/7	HOLDWatch	61	58	24	72	47	66	56
FTV	557/7	HOLDWatch	55	53	12	71	92	63	56
BG	557/7	HOLDWatch	99	33	11	55	47	62	56
GILD	557/7	HOLDWatch	63	79	27	59	45	29	56
AON	557/7	HOLDWatch	62	55	32	78	45	43	56
ARES	547/7	HOLDWatch	68	33	67	41	69	50	56
IQV	547/7	HOLDWatch	64	49	51	66	20	63	56
NWS	547/7	HOLDWatch	61	57	30	75	14	77	56
MOS	547/7	HOLDWatch	67	31	74	60	36	46	56
VLTO	547/7	HOLDWatch	56	55	50	63	26	63	56
MSFT	547/7	HOLDWatch	42	96	34	63	38	29	56
V	547/7	HOLDWatch	30	90	25	68	50	63	56
CBRE	537/7	HOLDWatch	50	56	54	50	78	34	56
PM	537/7	HOLDWatch	57	78	15	57	60	39	56
AWK	537/7	HOLDWatch	75	32	32	58	68	50	56
MRNA	537/7	HOLDWatch	100	40	37	51	0	44	56
EXPE	537/7	HOLDWatch	53	57	50	62	51	37	56
VMC	537/7	HOLDWatch	50	60	29	64	59	60	56
ATO	537/7	HOLDWatch	76	42	24	60	42	60	56
DOV	537/7	HOLDWatch	62	65	19	71	37	46	56
ORLY	537/7	HOLDWatch	47	63	39	67	55	44	56
CNC	537/7	HOLDWatch	98	41	0	66	33	43	56
HD	537/7	HOLDWatch	44	49	50	63	59	63	56
SWK	537/7	HOLDWatch	72	40	27	58	82	30	56
BX	527/7	HOLDWatch	21	55	76	63	74	49	56
IR	527/7	HOLDWatch	48	49	55	79	29	45	56
RCL	527/7	HOLDWatch	59	46	44	77	40	31	56
TDY	527/7	HOLDWatch	55	55	20	77	37	63	56
VRSK	527/7	HOLDWatch	36	55	91	48	45	40	56
AXON	527/7	HOLDWatch	26	46	97	73	50	29	56
MTD	527/7	HOLDWatch	44	69	43	56	37	57	56
ECL	527/7	HOLDWatch	35	66	34	80	53	43	56
IDXX	527/7	HOLDWatch	4	84	53	63	73	63	56
ADSK	527/7	HOLDWatch	22	81	58	53	72	32	56
SMCI	527/7	HOLDWatch	98	31	48	25	0	69	56
VTRS	527/7	HOLDWatch	98	41	13	39	38	43	56
LIN	517/7	HOLDWatch	43	70	8	67	74	50	56
LII	517/7	HOLDWatch	42	60	49	61	30	66	56
ITW	517/7	HOLDWatch	41	58	35	59	74	51	56
WAT	517/7	HOLDWatch	74	45	14	71	44	39	56
LLY	517/7	HOLDWatch	57	82	4	51	67	29	56
MAA	517/7	HOLDWatch	53	47	35	57	77	40	56
AMT	517/7	HOLDWatch	30	65	39	54	94	44	56
GD	517/7	HOLDWatch	68	65	12	36	76	34	56
BBY	517/7	HOLDWatch	80	52	14	37	64	35	56
BXP	517/7	HOLDWatch	63	28	48	41	65	67	56
WM	517/7	HOLDWatch	43	50	28	63	74	59	56
KIM	517/7	HOLDWatch	65	55	4	44	100	35	56
AXP	517/7	HOLDWatch	56	53	36	56	49	45	56
COR	517/7	HOLDWatch	50	26	56	74	68	38	56
KKR	507/7	HOLDWatch	56	29	74	42	70	33	56
SYK	507/7	HOLDWatch	44	55	49	53	70	32	56
MDLZ	507/7	HOLDWatch	57	49	27	58	46	63	56
JNJ	507/7	HOLDWatch	50	55	19	67	49	63	56
APTV	507/7	HOLDWatch	69	38	47	51	17	63	56
CCI	507/7	HOLDWatch	19	60	39	71	78	63	56
URI	507/7	HOLDWatch	49	60	5	54	81	60	56
HUM	507/7	HOLDWatch	74	55	4	37	58	57	56
O	507/7	HOLDWatch	51	57	19	61	51	59	56
AEP	507/7	HOLDWatch	79	32	15	61	47	47	56
UNH	507/7	HOLDWatch	57	47	10	69	53	63	56
SBAC	507/7	HOLDWatch	56	45	30	64	33	63	56
ELV	507/7	HOLDWatch	88	47	5	38	34	56	56
CTAS	497/7	HOLDWatch	17	76	50	80	40	37	56
CSX	497/7	HOLDWatch	53	63	8	71	41	48	56
VRSN	497/7	HOLDWatch	35	80	16	47	64	58	56
HPQ	497/7	HOLDWatch	100	49	16	25	14	41	56
UNP	497/7	HOLDWatch	51	69	12	55	38	58	56
PH	497/7	HOLDWatch	37	75	35	56	45	38	56
CPT	497/7	HOLDWatch	59	54	20	55	45	48	56
TKO	497/7	HOLDWatch	78	41	18	79	0	40	56
RTX	497/7	HOLDWatch	52	55	31	50	40	60	56
PLD	497/7	HOLDWatch	42	67	5	51	76	63	56
NDSN	497/7	HOLDWatch	47	68	8	59	43	63	56
SW	497/7	HOLDWatch	66	38	41	73	17	30	56
HUBB	497/7	HOLDWatch	46	74	30	42	48	39	56
EW	497/7	HOLDWatch	27	70	2	63	89	63	56
MA	497/7	HOLDWatch	29	55	35	78	76	29	56
CHD	497/7	HOLDWatch	49	58	18	58	45	63	56
DLR	487/7	HOLDWatch	26	63	14	63	94	56	56
MU	487/7	HOLDWatch	73	97	0	3	49	29	56
DXCM	487/7	HOLDWatch	27	83	35	65	26	46	56
WDC	487/7	HOLDWatch	54	91	0	35	50	35	56
APP	487/7	HOLDWatch	41	80	33	49	25	45	56
RL	487/7	HOLDWatch	52	71	13	60	32	43	56
DE	487/7	HOLDWatch	44	37	36	60	75	51	56
CAH	487/7	HOLDWatch	60	51	29	47	57	29	56
NDAQ	487/7	HOLDWatch	54	55	17	55	57	44	56
MMM	487/7	HOLDWatch	39	49	25	74	53	56	56
ESS	487/7	HOLDWatch	55	62	14	53	47	43	56
MRK	487/7	HOLDWatch	53	58	8	58	65	36	56
SPG	487/7	HOLDWatch	45	76	3	56	50	46	56
RVTY	487/7	HOLDWatch	51	49	22	71	44	38	56
NEE	487/7	HOLDWatch	61	38	22	63	63	29	56
FFIV	487/7	HOLDWatch	38	80	7	46	62	52	56
DRI	487/7	HOLDWatch	44	50	19	42	80	64	56
HSY	487/7	HOLDWatch	31	61	36	35	91	51	56
EMR	487/7	HOLDWatch	55	55	22	61	46	29	56
REG	477/7	HOLDWatch	64	68	9	40	45	31	56
WDAY	477/7	HOLDWatch	29	58	84	59	1	41	56
SHW	477/7	HOLDWatch	31	53	38	71	36	63	56
MSCI	477/7	HOLDWatch	18	88	0	62	88	40	56
GEV	477/7	HOLDWatch	16	89	32	46	59	49	56
LMT	477/7	HOLDWatch	37	45	43	58	44	63	56
AME	477/7	HOLDWatch	42	73	13	56	39	49	56
GWW	477/7	HOLDWatch	27	70	8	52	80	63	56
SNPS	477/7	HOLDWatch	41	52	53	61	32	29	56
DTE	477/7	HOLDWatch	70	21	12	60	50	63	56
ROL	467/7	HOLDWatch	5	72	55	83	43	30	56
PSA	467/7	HOLDWatch	29	72	5	69	69	39	56
PCAR	467/7	HOLDWatch	62	20	30	53	55	63	56
KR	467/7	HOLDWatch	49	34	36	68	43	48	56
GOOGL	467/7	HOLDWatch	19	98	11	58	43	44	56
WST	467/7	HOLDWatch	17	81	2	57	79	63	56
D	467/7	HOLDWatch	77	38	4	44	50	35	56
TJX	467/7	HOLDWatch	28	60	12	60	97	29	56
OXY	457/7	HOLDWatch	64	20	29	63	37	51	56
GOOG	457/7	SELLWatch	20	98	11	65	46	19	56
CARR	457/7	HOLDWatch	39	43	42	61	48	39	56
WAB	457/7	HOLDWatch	45	59	7	53	42	63	56
MCO	457/7	SELLWatch	24	55	32	62	64	47	56
TER	457/7	SELLWatch	40	83	21	52	5	40	56
EBAY	457/7	SELLWatch	38	71	16	38	72	29	56
VTR	457/7	SELLWatch	35	50	13	60	58	63	56
ETR	457/7	SELLWatch	66	25	15	55	57	43	56
SRE	457/7	SELLWatch	62	22	21	67	43	45	56
FAST	457/7	SELLWatch	10	80	25	68	55	38	56
DD	447/7	SELLWatch	55	26	12	53	76	53	56
ABBV	447/7	SELLWatch	34	54	22	58	59	45	56
MAR	447/7	SELLWatch	21	86	5	49	48	63	56
SNDK	447/7	SELLWatch	45	96	0	18	50	34	56
WEC	447/7	SELLWatch	72	31	13	40	54	42	56
PEP	447/7	SELLWatch	50	20	31	62	61	48	56
WELL	447/7	SELLWatch	44	52	13	70	42	30	56
ETN	447/7	SELLWatch	17	68	15	70	62	44	56
TSN	447/7	SELLWatch	62	20	22	57	50	46	56
HAS	447/7	SELLWatch	42	32	37	77	41	30	56
SYY	447/7	SELLWatch	52	20	34	54	46	63	56
FCX	447/7	SELLWatch	57	64	13	41	14	43	56
CVS	447/7	SELLWatch	64	39	15	52	41	29	56
IEX	437/7	SELLWatch	54	63	7	39	38	39	56
CMI	437/7	SELLWatch	38	61	19	56	27	50	56
AMZN	437/7	SELLWatch	42	77	3	51	38	29	56
TPL	437/7	SELLWatch	0	77	54	61	16	60	56
STLD	437/7	SELLWatch	56	46	0	49	44	53	56
APD	437/7	SELLWatch	51	38	18	53	44	50	56
WMB	437/7	SELLWatch	44	38	20	60	32	60	56
DOC	427/7	SELLWatch	53	40	9	51	51	44	56
EME	427/7	SELLWatch	34	78	25	34	34	29	56
COST	427/7	SELLWatch	0	74	25	61	75	39	56
HLT	427/7	SELLWatch	2	84	9	68	38	63	56
ASML	427/7	SELLWatch	0	92	2	69	58	41	56
EA	417/7	SELLWatch	9	65	3	46	100	59	56
APO	417/7	SELLWatch	33	19	35	60	79	41	56
EL	417/7	SELLWatch	42	26	51	56	15	49	56
CL	417/7	SELLWatch	31	53	18	51	50	45	56
TECH	417/7	SELLWatch	34	20	55	77	11	46	56
NXPI	417/7	SELLWatch	36	55	7	50	35	57	56
MGM	417/7	SELLWatch	38	35	0	85	27	59	56
IBKR	417/7	SELLWatch	28	55	3	65	51	45	56
MRVL	417/7	SELLWatch	40	64	3	51	38	29	56
TT	407/7	SELLWatch	18	71	17	50	42	45	56
JCI	407/7	SELLWatch	32	60	16	54	41	29	56
EXPD	407/7	SELLWatch	41	55	9	30	42	63	56
GRMN	407/7	SELLWatch	53	20	25	50	60	29	56
WMT	397/7	SELLWatch	19	62	27	36	42	56	56
CASY	397/7	SELLWatch	23	51	27	56	36	45	56
INSM	397/7	SELLWatch	0	31	99	71	12	34	56
SWKS	397/7	SELLWatch	68	20	13	59	0	46	56
WY	397/7	SELLWatch	31	19	22	53	82	50	56
FER	397/7	SELLWatch	11	47	17	62	56	63	56
GE	387/7	SELLWatch	5	80	13	59	33	44	56
GNRC	387/7	SELLWatch	14	51	2	65	61	55	56
NRG	387/7	SELLWatch	10	38	54	65	16	58	56
TRGP	387/7	SELLWatch	42	26	16	50	35	63	56
ORCL	387/7	SELLWatch	7	54	62	53	0	53	56
HON	387/7	SELLWatch	21	49	8	69	32	54	56
PWR	387/7	SELLWatch	44	40	19	31	58	29	56
CDNS	387/7	SELLWatch	0	82	4	35	69	55	56
MCHP	377/7	SELLWatch	45	41	16	59	11	31	56
WSM	377/7	SELLWatch	44	20	15	30	72	56	56
LYV	377/7	SELLWatch	8	41	6	54	86	65	56
KO	377/7	SELLWatch	31	55	7	32	50	42	56
ADM	377/7	SELLWatch	56	43	8	19	35	39	56
LITE	367/7	SELLWatch	0	66	38	51	34	38	56
ODFL	357/7	SELLWatch	4	70	0	55	42	51	56
AKAM	357/7	SELLWatch	31	45	14	56	11	40	56
MPWR	357/7	SELLWatch	12	61	12	37	46	47	56
NTAP	347/7	SELLWatch	36	64	0	33	11	39	56
AVGO	347/7	SELLWatch	19	71	0	51	2	48	56
STX	347/7	SELLWatch	17	64	0	44	31	46	56
TXN	347/7	SELLWatch	0	89	12	12	32	63	56
MSI	337/7	SELLWatch	24	20	35	47	40	41	56
BA	337/7	SELLWatch	0	53	17	68	38	29	56
FIX	327/7	SELLWatch	0	68	21	34	32	43	56
JBHT	317/7	SELLWatch	32	57	0	23	29	30	56
INTC	317/7	SELLWatch	27	27	23	49	15	40	56
SBUX	317/7	SELLWatch	11	15	14	70	45	52	56
KLAC	317/7	SELLWatch	0	55	9	58	28	44	56
TSLA	307/7	SELLWatch	0	54	22	32	33	47	56
ON	297/7	SELLWatch	23	51	10	26	0	47	56
CRWD	297/7	SELLWatch	0	59	0	33	43	46	56
CHRW	267/7	SELLWatch	15	20	22	39	31	32	56
CIEN	267/7	SELLWatch	1	43	7	44	28	35	56
SATS	257/7	SELLWatch	19	0	18	65	0	46	56